Big Ten Power Rankings (02/08/08)

Big Ten Conference logoQuite frankly, poor Illinois can’t catch a break. According to the Power Rankings, they should have a much better record than they do. If you believe the numbers they should be fighting for an NCAA berth not fighting to stay out of the Big Ten basement.

The power rankings predicted a 64-63 one point win for Indiana. With the actual game tied at 63-63 in regulation, then going into double overtime before the Hoosiers pulled out the win, the prediction couldn’t have been much closer.

# Team Pace Off Def Pwr Rank
1 Wisconsin 64.1 1.13 0.81 1.39 5
2 Indiana 68.7 1.13 0.87 1.30 18
3 Michigan St. 66.5 1.14 0.88 1.29 20
4 Ohio St. 65.5 1.09 0.86 1.26 26
5 Purdue 68.3 1.09 0.88 1.25 30
6 Illinois 64.1 1.07 0.88 1.21 38
7 Minnesota 69.9 1.08 0.90 1.20 43
8 Penn St. 66.0 1.07 0.97 1.11 94
9 Iowa 60.9 0.99 0.89 1.10 96
10 Michigan 65.5 1.06 1.01 1.04 125
11 Northwestern 63.5 1.03 1.04 0.98 172

Ken Pomeroy supports the notion that the Illini’s record in depressed. Part of yesteday’s column by Ken was devoted to that very point.

Jeff Sagarin’s ratings suggest the same. His PREDICTOR RATING, which takes into account game scores and in Jeff’s own words “is the best single PREDICTOR of future games”, has Purdue at #50 and Illinois at #51 as of Feb 6th. Yet look at how different their records are.