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Round of 32 Updated Predictions

March 22nd, 2008 . by UncleLar

Crystal BallThe first round saw me finish a highly respectable 26-6 (and atop my pool). Here are the latest predictions for the second round.

The power ranking adjustments do call for one change from my previous predictions. I now have Stanford defeating Marquette.

Round of 32      
North Carolina 78 Arkansas 70 W
Notre Dame 66 Washington St. 69 W
Oklahoma 59 Louisville 65 W
Butler 68 Tennessee 71 W
Kansas 76 Nevada Las Vegas 60 W
Villanova 71 Siena 65 W
Kansas St. 62 Wisconsin 66 W
Davidson 62 Georgetown 68 L
Memphis 69 Mississippi St. 60 W
Michigan St. 69 Pittsburgh 68 W
Marquette 64 Stanford 65 W
Miami FL 66 Texas 74 W
UCLA 66 Texas A&M 59 W
Western Kentucky 67 San Diego St. 64 W
Purdue 65 Xavier 66 W
West Virginia 68 Duke 71 L

Tournament Predictions

March 19th, 2008 . by UncleLar

Crystal BallHere are the picks, with projected scores, all the way through the tournament based on the power rankings formula. I will update the picks after each round.

Day One (16-0)
Georgia 60 Xavier 72 W
Portland St. 58 Kansas 84 W
Temple 64 Michigan St. 73 W
Kentucky 60 Marquette 67 W
Baylor 69 Purdue 73 W
Kent St. 64 Nevada Las Vegas 65 W
Oral Roberts 62 Pittsburgh 68 W
Cornell 60 Stanford 77 W
Kansas St. 69 Southern California 67 W
Belmont 64 Duke 88 W
Winthrop 51 Washington St. 62 W
Texas A&M 64 Brigham Young 60 W
Cal St. Fullerton 60 Wisconsin 79 W
Arizona 67 West Virginia 68 W
George Mason 67 Notre Dame 76 W
Mississippi Valley St. 46 UCLA 82 W
Day Two
American 62 Tennessee 82 W
Davidson 67 Gonzaga 69 L
St. Mary’s 68 Miami FL 69 W
Western Kentucky 66 Drake 73 L
South Alabama 64 Butler 69 W
MD Baltimore County 58 Georgetown 78 W
Austin Peay 60 Texas 81 W
San Diego St. 63 Connecticut 72 L
Mount St. Mary’s 60 North Carolina 84 W
Saint Joseph’s 66 Oklahoma 69 W
Siena 67 Vanderbilt 75 L
Oregon 70 Mississippi St. 71 W
Arkansas 66 Indiana 70 L
Boise St. 61 Louisville 79 W
Villanova 65 Clemson 71 L
Texas Arlington 55 Memphis 81 W
Round of 32
North Carolina 77 Indiana 72 W
Notre Dame 66 Washington St. 69 W
Oklahoma 61 Louisville 65 W
Butler 66 Tennessee 71 W
Kansas 76 Nevada Las Vegas 58 W
Clemson 73 Vanderbilt 68 n/a
Kansas St. 63 Wisconsin 67 W
Gonzaga 62 Georgetown 67 L
Memphis 69 Mississippi St. 60 W
Michigan St. 69 Pittsburgh 67 W
Marquette 64 Stanford 63 L
Miami FL 67 Texas 74 W
UCLA 66 Texas A&M 60 W
Drake 70 Connecticut 71 n/a
Purdue 65 Xavier 66 W
West Virginia 67 Duke 72 L
Sweet Sixteen
North Carolina 70 Washington St. 68 W
Louisville 68 Tennessee 67 W
Kansas 74 Clemson 63 W
Wisconsin 61 Georgetown 58 L
Memphis 69 Michigan St. 63 W
Marquette 67 Texas 68 W
UCLA 72 Connecticut 65 W
Xavier 69 Duke 72 L
Elite Eight
North Carolina 72 Louisville 70 W
Kansas 66 Wisconsin 61 W
Memphis 69 Texas 66 W
UCLA 71 Duke 68 W
Final Four
North Carolina 70 Kansas 78 W
Memphis 65 UCLA 66 L
Championship
Kansas 69 UCLA 65 W

Illinois finally wakes up

March 15th, 2008 . by UncleLar

2008 B10 Tournament logoThe Illini have been headscratchers all season long. Their power rankings would suggest that they should be about .500 in conference but as we all know they’ve played well below that level. In the Pomeroy rankings, there’s only been a very small difference between Purdue and Illinois all year (which perhaps indicates just how good a job that Matt Painter has done with the Boilermakers).

For their B10 tournament matchup, Purdue was predicted to just be a three point favorite over Illinois (which means they would be even on Illinois’s home court). Illinois finally stepped up and got the big win. I expect them to top Minnesota today later today and actually make it to the finals.

Either way, the Illinois/Minnesota semifinal means headaches for the NCAA selection committee. One of those two teams will be in the finals and neither are projected to have NCAA bids. That means the tournament selection committee will have to work on contingency plans for what happens if one of the two actually claim the Big Ten auto bid.

Game Predictions 03/09/08

March 9th, 2008 . by UncleLar

Crystal BallRegular season ends with Penn State going for its fifth straight home win which I sure most fans thought would be an impossibility once Claxton went down for the season in the third Big Ten game of the season.

Game Predictions:

  • Ohio State 64.6 Michigan State 64.3 (I guess OSU wins in OT)
  • Indiana 75 Penn State 65
  • Purdue 89 Michigan 61

Game Predictions 03/01/08

March 1st, 2008 . by UncleLar

Crystal BallTonight is senior night for Penn State and the rumor mill is that fallen star Geary Claxton will suit up and make a symbolic start. Supposedly an arrangement has been struck where Michigan will allow PSU to win the jump, the refs will call an immediate time out, and Claxton will be removed from the game. If true, it’s a nice gesture by John Beilein’s squad to give the Happy Valley faithful a chance to honor their star on senior night.

In other action, Ohio State needs a win at Minnesota to improve their NCAA hopes. A loss here would jeopardize their chances for an at large bid.

Game Predictions:

  • PSU 70 Michigan 67
  • Purdue 76 Northwestern 57
  • Ohio State 65 Minnesota 64
  • Illinois 58 Iowa 54

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