Four Factor Analysis Tool (Ill vs PSU in B10 tournament)

Hopefully this will not be the last time that I do this. As usual our defensive field goal efficiency looks atrocious next to our opponent. One number that does stand out in PSU’s favor is the defensive FT rate. Illinois does have a tendency to send their opponents to the free throw line. Should that …

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Four Factor Analysis Tool (Ind at PSU)

This is the most one sided analysis that I’ve published all year. Indiana wins all of the categories except two – PSU forces slightly more turnovers than Indiana does (to the tune of one tenth a game) and they don’t put opponents on the line as often (by about as thin a margin as the …

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Four Factor Analysis Tool (PSU at Wis)

The thing that stands out to me in this analysis is how little difference there is in most of the bars, yet there’s a most notable difference in the records of the PSU and Wisconsin. But then you remember the old adage, defense wins championships and it becomes very obvious why Wisconsin sits atop the …

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Four Factor Analysis Tool (Mich at PSU)

Given how close these two teams are in the Pomeroy (Michigan is #107 nationally, PSU is #108) and Sagarin (Michigan is #126 and PSU is #129) ranking systems, I guess it should come as no surprise that the Four Factor Analysis doesn’t uncover any huge secrets. PSU’s effective field goal percentage is better than Michigan’s …

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Four Factor Analysis Tool (Iowa at PSU)

Only one thing that immediately stands out on this chart – how much worse PSU’s defensive FG efficiency is than Iowa’s. For PSU to win, that can’t happen tonight. The Nits are either going to have to step up their D or Iowa is going to have to have an off shooting night. PSU quite …

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Four Factor Analysis Tool (PSU at Minn)

This has become a familiar theme. Penn State’s opponent, in this case Minnesota, had a definitive edge in the delta between their offensive and defensive FG%, due mainly to PSU’s absolutely horrid defense and, as usual, Penn State has an edge in their turnover rate. Minnesota, like others, also puts their opponent on the line …

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Four Factor Analysis Tool (PSU at MSU)

Not too many surprises here. As usual, Penn State’s defensive efficiency stands out as being far worse that their opponents. In their game here in Happy Valley, PSU was surprisingly able to step up their pressure on MSU’s guards, Drew Neitzel especially, forcing MSU into a pretty poor shooting night, particularly from beyond the arc …

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Four Factor Analysis Tool (Ill at PSU)

A couple of things stand out immediately. One – Penn State’s defensive FG effectiveness is atrocious. They are just going to have to find a way to play better defense to have any chance at all. You can’t let an opponent shoot the equivalent of almost 60% against you and expect to have any chance …

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Four Factor Analysis Tool (PSU at Mich)

These stats are conference play numbers only. Today is one of those rare occasions where we go into a conference game with a statistical advantage. Our effective FG% is five points higher than Michigan’s and we are also five points better on effective FG% defense. When you get in a situation like that you want …

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