Now that we are half way through conference play, I am making a fundamental shift in the analysis. From this point on, the statistics behind the tool will be based entirely on conference play numbers. A quick look at the numbers for Penn State and Purdue quickly point out the defensive deficiencies that the Nittany [...]
Archive of posts filed under the Four Factor Analysis category.
Four Factor Analysis Tool MSU at PSU)
About the only advantage PSU takes into this game is turnovers. Probably the only shot they have is for MSU to get real sloppy with the ball and turn it over close to 20 times while PSU keeps their turnovers under a dozen. As always MSU is one of the best rebounding teams in the [...]
Four Factor Analysis Tool (OSU at PSU)
As is to be expected, the numbers are pretty one sided for Ohio State. For the first time this year, our opponents FG% effectiveness has passed ours while Ohio State has one of the biggest differentials in the league. Our guys are going to have to get hot tonight, while the Buckeyes are going to [...]
Four Factor Analysis Tool (PSU at Iowa)
Because this is year long data, the numbers for Penn State don’t reflect the loss of Geary Claxton and thus the tool’s utility for this game can be questioned. However, I’m still publishing it because the data is most certainly valid for other league games and people might want to make use of it.
Four Factor Analysis Tool (Pur at PSU)
This comparison is probably the closest one that I have looked at all season. Penn State has a slight edge in effective FG% but they are worse than Purdue in effective FG% defense (the delta between offense and defense is almost identical, +1.1% for PSU, +1.0% for Purdue). PSU protects the ball better than Purdue [...]
Four Factor Analysis (PSU at Ind)
Don’t know that there’s much to say here. Indiana has a solid lead in many of the categories. We do have a slight edge in offensive rebounding but with Claxton’s loss, who knows if we can sustain that. Turnovers are the one area where we look ok. We are better at protecting the ball and [...]
Wisconsin at Penn State Four Factor Analysis Tool
Wisconsin pretty much owns the stats against us. We do have a better offensive rebounding percentage and we do turn the ball over less than they do. However, countering that, Wisconsin is a better defensive rebounding team and they force more turnovers than we do. We will likely have to win both the rebounding and [...]
Four Factor Analysis Tool (PSU vs Minn)
Here’s the four factor analysis tool with data through games of 01/10/08. It’s preloaded with Minnesota vs Penn State but by following directions in the legend you can compare any of the teams that you would like. Minnesota has the edge in offensive and defensive efficiency, causing turnovers, and free throw efficiency (getting fouled and [...]
PSU at Illinois – Four Factor Analysis
At first glance on paper, these teams look remarkably similar. They both like to play at the same pace, Penn State has an edge on offense that’s slightly compensated for by Illinois’ defensive edge, they rebound at about the same rate, and they both are poor at the free throw line. PSU does have a [...]
