April 8th, 2008 . by UncleLar
Here’s a round by round recap of my predictions for the tournament:
- 16-0 on the first day
- 10-6 on day two
- 14-2 in the Round of 32
- 7-1 for the Sweet Sixteen
- 4-0 for the Elite Eight
- 1-1 in the semifinals
- 1-0 in the championship game
- 53-10 overall
And the winning entry in the two pools that I entered. One for bragging rights, one for cash (small pool - only $80 to the winner - five places get paid).
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April 8th, 2008 . by UncleLar
Final record for my pics during the tournament was 13-8. It’s a shame I didn’t put my money where my mouth is. Thirteen wins out of 21 games would have earned me a pretty penny in Vegas, particularly if I had varied the amount bet based on my predicted confidence level, since my top five picks were all winners.
Look for this to probably be a regular feature in my blog for all Big Ten games next season. I’m very curious on how the numbers might play out over the course of the season. In fact, over the summer I just might go back and see how the numbers would have played out this past year.
Here’s the details in declining order of my confidence in the picks.
- Wisconsin over Cal St-Fullerton by 11.5 - pick Wisconsin (8.5) - win
- North Carolina over Kansas by 4.0 - pick Kansas (8.0) - win
- Memphis over Kansas by 2.0 - pick Kansas (5.0) - win
- Texas over Austin Peay by 16.5 - pick Texas (4.7) - win
- Louisville over Boise St by 13.5 - pick Louisville (4.7) - win
- North Carlina over Louisville by 6.5 - pick Louisville (4.7) - loss
- Southern Cal over Kansas St by 2.0 - pick Kansas St (4.5) - win
- Duke over Belmont by 19.5 - pick Duke (4.4) - loss
- UCLA over Miss Valley St by 32 - pick UCLA (3.9) - win
- North Carolina over Arkansas by 12 - pick Arkansas (3.9) - loss
- Kansas over Villanova by 12.0 - pick Kansas (3.8) - win
- Xavier over Georgia by 7.5 - pick Xavier (3.8) - win
- UCLA over Texas A&M by 10.5 - pick A&M (3.8) - loss
- Wisconsin over Davidson by 5.0 - pick Wisconsin (3.7) - loss
- Pitt over Michigan St by 2.5 - pick Michigan St (3.6) - win
- Pitt over Oral Roberts by 10.0 - pick Oral Roberts (3.6) - loss
- Davidson over Gonzaga by 2.0 - pick Gonzaga (3.4) - loss
- Kansas over UNLV by 13.0 - pick Kansas (3.2) - win
- Kent St over UNLV by 2.0 - pick UNLV (3.2) - win
- Kentucky over Marquette by 4.5 - pick Kentucky (3.1) - loss
- Washington St over Winthrop by 8.5 - pick Wash St (3.1) - win
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April 7th, 2008 . by UncleLar
My UncleLar Lock of the Tournament pick of Kansas over Carolina moves me to 12-8 with my picks for the tournament. My picks have been so successful that I’m probably going to make this a regular feature for all Big Ten games next season.
Vegas has installed Memphis as a two point favorite. If you’ve read my game pick, you already know that I like Kansas in this game by three. That meets my three point delta requirement so Kansas becomes an UncleLar pick once again.
The line:
- Memphis over Kansas by 2.0 - pick Kansas (5.0) - win
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April 7th, 2008 . by UncleLar
Here’s a recap of my results so far.
- 16-0 on the first day
- 10-6 on day two
- 14-2 in the Round of 32
- 7-1 for the Sweet Sixteen
- 4-0 for the Elite Eight
- 1-1 in the semifinals
- 52-10 overall
Pretty decent record, if I do say so. I’ve already locked up a win in one pool that I’m in, but need Kansas to win to take the crown in the other (this one awards 32 points per round, so you can make up a lot of ground late).
For the finals, I like Kansas.
The actual prediction:
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April 5th, 2008 . by UncleLar
My sole prediction in the Elite Eight went down the tubes so I currently sit at 11-8 against the spread.
Since the bookies have installed North Carolina as a four point favorite and I have Kansas winning by four, this would be close to the UncleLar Lock of the Tournament. This is the second biggest delta that I’ve had for the entire tournament.
For the record, the biggest previous delta was my Wisconsin pick over Cal-St Fullerton in the opening round. Wisconsin was favored by 11.5, I had them winning by 20 for and 8.5 point delta, and they actually won by 15 for a win for the good guys.
- North Carolina over Kansas by 4.0 - pick Kansas (8.0) - won
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